A Tipping Point for Infrastructure in Latin America

By Paul

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Some statistics on the state of infrastructure in Latin America from the latest edition of The Economist;

“In Mexico, public spending on infrastructure—electricity generation, roads, railways, water plants and the like—was a third lower in 2004 than a decade earlier, according to a report by Merrill Lynch, an investment bank. The World Bank describes two-fifths of the country's motorways as “pre-modern”. Nevertheless, the government has found the money to spend 0.7% of GDP on subsidising the electricity that is consumed—which does nothing for the poorest, who live in the dark in rural areas…Between 1990 and 2003, Latin America accounted for half of total private-sector participation in infrastructure in developing countries.

In recent years, total spending in the region on infrastructure has averaged less than 2% of GDP. It is not enough. According to the World Bank, 58m Latin Americans lack access to potable water and 137m lack sewerage. In Brazil and Peru, less than a quarter of the main highways are classified as good. In surveys by the bank, 55% of businessmen consulted in Latin America cite infrastructure as a serious problem compared with just 18% in East Asia. The bank says the region will have to double or triple its current spending to bring its infrastructure up to the level of that in East Asia's fast-growing economies.

Chile- the exception…Now the roads that whisk the traveller into Santiago, the capital, from the airport are privately run, as are most other motorways and the airport itself. Nearly all Chile's water is supplied by private companies. Long-term “infrastructure bonds”, denominated in inflation-adjusted pesos, have financed much of the $8 billion investment in roads, airports and the like. Chile is planning to issue contracts for private investors to build and maintain public hospitals.

Brazil,…Infrastructure will be “a point of strangulation”, holding the rate of economic growth to less than 4%, predicts Adriano Pires of the Centro Brasileiro de Infra Estrutura, a consultancy. The federal investment budget is just 0.5% of GDP. Add in lower levels of government and state companies, and public spending on infrastructure totals about 2%—probably not enough to maintain the stock of infrastructure….Since Brazil has little scope for raising taxes and debt and cannot easily re-allocate spending, it will have to rely on the private sector over the next few years, believes Paulo Correa, co-author of a forthcoming World Bank report on Brazilian infrastructure. ..In Brazil 36% of concession contracts have been renegotiated, usually at the instigation of the government—above the regional average of 30%. All but the most profitable investments have been deterred by the high—though now falling—cost of capital.”

Related:

ABCDE Tokyo 2006- Video

A Primer on Risk Management: Applications to Latin America and the Caribbean

Mexico - Infrastructure public expenditure review

Ranking economic policies ($ required)

Asian Highway network gathers speed

Comments


K T Cat wrote:

Great post! I'd like to see the data broken down by country. Latin America is a pretty diverse place, monolithic only in the eyes of us gringos. :-)

Argentina is my bet for the economic superpower down there.

-- June 20, 2006 9:48 AM


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